Change in Iran? Don’t Hold Your Breath
Regime in Iran Far From Opening Up
Iron Grip ControlThere is no doubt the political stage in Iran has morphed lukewarm shifts following the nuclear deal and legislative polls. There is also a growing desire amongst the general public for Tehran to open to the outside world, bringing an end to the self-imposed state of blockade. The mullahs on the throne in Tehran have since 1979 attempted to completely cut-off Iranians from the outside world. The conservative camp in Iran is concerned of opening Iran’s doors to the West, knowing this will mark the beginning of the end of its iron grip over the society. As a result, Iranian supreme autocrat Ali Khamenei and his loyalists are going to the limits to preserve the status quo. This faction enjoys significant control over all funds, market activity and effectively brought an end to the traditional bazaar.
Previous 'open-up' experiments showed even the more successful rendered actual economic or political fruit after the passage of many years, at times decades. China adopted a strictly redacted open-door policy following a historic pact reached with the United States in the 1970s. However, the international community failed to sense any real domestic economic shifts as gates into the country remained closed for nearly two decades. The Soviet Union, mired in intractable crises, witnessed Mikhail Gorbachev spearheading efforts to democratize his country’s political system and decentralize its economy, ultimately crystallizing into the complete downfall the regime in the early 90s. This is the exact scenario the ruling elite in Tehran fear the most.